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Old 24th August 2005, 02:02 AM
tarbs tarbs is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 83
Smile Wednesday

Brisbane:

Race 1:

Dont like backing baileys horses, and might leave this one alone, but Line by Line raced extremely well on debut in feburary. Stewards report said slowly away and blocked for a run, but got beaten only 1.8 lengths in town, was 8th on the turn and sectional of the winner was 34.7 for last 600m. This horse made up 4 lengths in straight, sectional probably closer to 34 flat. Not bad for an early two year old. Has obvious ability and will be very hard to beat. Having said that, while only a maiden, the 2 & 5 are clear topraters. Others for multiples 1,8

Race 2:

Secret Donna - I just like the name! Is a lottery really, probably wont touch it though - 4,12 top raters, then secret donna and the 9.

Race 3:

Problem with this race is who leads, probably either the toppy or Golden Dollars. Golden dollars is a strong rater, and lack of pace will hand this too him. Vettori's Image is top rater, and agree with Mav, if he can hold out the toppy and Golden Dollars is the one to beat, 1,2,4,8 all worth a look could be some value amongst them. Watch betting moves of those who have never placed before.

Race 4:

Once again, big field may make up for it, but no genuine leader besides the aptly named Leader of the Pack. Drawn to win and wouldnt surprise with an upset. I'm not overly confident, Mav is confident so look to his if all else fails

Dangers 2,3,4,5,10(3rd place only),11(3rd place only)

Race 5:

Lindalay, Meerthyr Road and Filibeg three main chances. As opposed to last few races, there is a stack of leaders in this race. And, with the exception of common knowledge they are all drawn wide. John Hawkes has the highest strike rate of any trainer first up (still low around 15%) but this one Filibeg could run over them and has won first up before(and has drawn ideal in 2). Take these three in the try with your fancys/betting moves

Adelaide

Race 1:

Freedom run, top rater and top Jock - not confident, follow betting moves though... and D Hayes - could be a big day for him

Race 2:

Maybe Hayes again? First Starter

Race 5:

I respect lair (no 1) in this race, but slipmaster meets him 6.5 kgs better after ebing beaton only 2 lengths by him last start. Still rate lair on top, but watch that slipmaster doesnt catch a break. Having said that, there is NO speed in this race that I can see, giving Lord or War and Leewood, with the two best jocks an undeniable chance. Take multiples around these.

Race 7:

Numbers 4,5,6 should fill the placings. The 5 Molokai's Ladd from the draw is well suited, the 4 needs alot of pace on to win. Sabre lady a good chance also

Race 8:

Perhaps tic toc tac, good run last start, may get a good lead although double spirits may pressure him



Good luck, look forward to others postings, especially in meetings I havent looked at yet!
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