30th August 2005, 12:05 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 256
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by crash
w924,
I like the largest number possible in a horse's last start with this system. 1215 is a lot better than 5211 as far as odds go if it wins. Last start winners kill odds. This system has a lot of shorteners and short priced winners [but rarely odds on], but a surprising amount of drifters getting up at $12 to $14. I have tried PP up to $9 with this system over hundreds of bets and they just don't get up often enough to pay. $7 seems to be the magic mark of paying divies.
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Interesting..I would have thought that the difference in win rates of $7 versus $9 would have been minimal, but if your stats state otherwise... I wont argue with that. lol.
Re "last start winners kill odds" yes sometimes ..but not always..esp if they are seemingly rising in class, or moving interstate or a long distance to race....
I do have a bit of a phobia of backing horses that have already won their last two starts.....esp if their win rate is not flash...no factual evidence here..just pure superstition lol. (i still have to back back them if they come up in my plans)
Speaking of last start winners..anyone following the Bet Selectors last start winners longshot plan? (as referred to in Punters Choice) ...I'm not..but it sounds interesting and more in line with I like best...
Shaun I'd be keen to read any of those posts that you mentioned from that site if you care to post them here..they sound juicy..
All the best
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