Hi Dale,

"In relation to the original post and days since last start i feel days since last start is the most overated piece of form going around..."

"You always hear the old (insert high number here)% of winners had raced within the last 7,14,21 days blah blah blah,well guess what that is because (insert high number here)% of runners had raced within that time span."

I havent looked at it that way before.... the figures I had gave a higher percentage of winners within the past seven days over the percentage of winners over 14 and 21 days...I assumed , perhaps wrongly, that the sooner they raced the better their chances.

I recall horses backing up after only three or four days after a win and winning again..This applies to trots and gallops. I dont have actual figures..but it suggests that an in-form fit horse can repeat a win.

I personally dont worry about the number of days since last start as a factor myself..my selections come up simply for the fact that the horse won its last start. I dont really care when, but perhaps I am getting over excited when their previous win was only a week ago...

As for that last start winner factor killing prices..I dispute that..there are still longer priced horses to be had. For example Bets Sector would not be able to have a "last start winner longshot plan" without longer prices on offer.

Ive just gone thru my sydney lsw selection winners this year since mid feb, and here they are in order: Syd sATURDAYS this year have been. $17.00, $9.08, $11.30, $26.00 and $9.80..in that order.

I';m surprised that I havent had some shorter ones in there. Remember, these horses had to be $9.00 or longer when the win pool was only 10k. Food for thought...