31st August 2005, 03:47 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Management
The person who set this puzzle didn't think this was the correct solution, but if JFC wants to argue the point I'll pass on his details.
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Why can't you publicly give the reason why I've been jdged incorrect, presumably because (some) rules state "insurance bets must be placed prior to any players receiving a third card".
http://www.starcity.com.au/dir013/i...ackPerfectPairs
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In that case, consider a modest variation to my original.
In a single deck, with a +2 count, the probability of a 10-point card would be presumed to be 16/50.
If then the 3 Aces are dealt, that probability drops to 16/47 i.e. > 1/3.
Hence insurance should be taken. |