
9th December 2002, 11:35 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 740
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GREYHOUNDS :
My thoughts.
If possible get a comprehensive formguide which gives inrunning commentary.
Altenately,if you can get videos or record in some way, more the better.
The key to success here is identifying dogs which are fast beginners, but got hampered from a poor draw last start and also ran home strongly.
So you are backing dogs which are fast beginners, usually avoiding trouble, and have form that looks ordinary on paper but copped bad interference.
My five star bets would be dogs which led all the way and won in the best time of the night - unfortunately those dogs are usually odds on, but if you can find the occasional qualifier at decent odds, you won't be disappointed.
Take note of weight changes - very important punting tool as a large weight rise indicates lack of fitness and is your best guide to whether the dog is race fit.
DO NOT take anything below 3/1 on the dogs.
Anything can happen without the monkeys riding them, so if you can get over 3/1 and have decent filters, you should come out ahead.
I would stick to the higher grade races rather than maidens etc. You need at least 10 starts to be able to make an accurate decision, as maiden / grade 1 dogs can rise and fall rapidly formwise.
They are just learning what it's all about at that stage and make poor investments.
Often there is good value in the running doubles, as most punters bet heavily on the very fancied runners and if you can find something at decent odds, I've seen running doubles that weren't that hard to have, pay around $100.00!
[ This Message was edited by: Equine Investor on 2002-12-09 23:40 ]
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