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Originally Posted by kenchar
AS well known I am no form student but some things in racing really bamboozle me.
Cranbourne race 7 we have ( on qldtab ) No 14 Shadow at $54 and No 15 King Johannes at $4.
Cheers
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Hi kenchar!
Did not bet today, so did not rate any race either, but I think the difference between the two nags was only in the mind of the punters.
Shadow is a 6 year old, here is the formline for the last few years:
123L6882X021417X3L60L8279769587X20172
It's classpoints (according to MY class ratings) for it's last race :
Raceclass: 48.92 horse class points:45.01
King Johannes formline: 13012
It's classpoints for it's last race :
Raceclass: 48.92 horse class points:47.94
I think everyone followed the notion of a younger horse, better finishing margin etc. and ignoring the fact that Shadow has a proven record on Met tracks and class, and King Johannes had only one run on Met track and class.
As to punter57 would have bet or not, I think his idea of looking why a horse pays so much is not a bad one.