"Creative" in the instance you mention, refers to "evaluation of a trainer's motives for running a horse". C'mon Dale ol' boy; creative? That's barely worthy commenting about; that's one of the worst, most inefficient, oldest methods for selecting a horse but let me say at least this...... I have publications dating back to the late 1800s that advise this same method. NOTHING is new, it's ALL been done before Dale... again and again and again and again and again and again. People who don't understand this continually look for new variations of choosing a horse.
In the late 1800s professionals were making a living from betting on horses and in the year 2005 the same applies. What the professional punters were doing in 1890 is the same as what professional punters are doing now.......... they used a sound selection process (there's no secret with horse selection... there's many sound methods) combined with a sound betting process (there's no secret with how to bet.... there's many sound methods); *BUT* and I repeat *BUT* the professionals have a thorough understanding of the mathematical process involved and both select and bet accordingly and *THIS* is why they can reap several % POT on a permanent basis; in other words make a living. They DON'T make a living because they select winners, anyone who knows how can do that.... they win because they understand how the figures work and bet accordingly. They were doing that in 1890, and they're doing that now!
The truth of the matter, and all mug punters seem incapable of grasping this, is that picking winners is not the door to success. Knowing what your *long term* win rate and return rate will be, in advance, is *THE* key: And you can only know that if you *FULLY UNDERSTAND THE FIGURES INVOLVED IN THE REQUIRED PROCESSES INVOLVED IN BOTH THE SELECTION PROCESS AND BETTING PROCESS". This is not a secret, and it never has been, and it's available to everyone; but most people don't have the application, inclination nor the academic agility to master what's required.
So these people continue to look for the *magic* selection method, totally oblivious to the fact that it's all been discovered, tried, and discarded and then re-discovered, tried, and discarded......... again and again and again and again and again for well over 150 years.
Trying to win by beating the odds is like trying to argue that 1+1=3.
One can only win, on a permanent basis, by UNDERSTANDING the odds: Understanding them in both the selection and betting processes.
Wesmip, please heed my advice in a previous post and you will have the best chance of success. You've already started betting, so pick a time to STOP. That can be at any point of time in the future. If at that point you are in front, even if it's just $1, then stop operating your method *for life*. You would have made your profit from it. That's the best chance you'll ever have with it, believe me. If you are behind at the stop time, then accept that loss, and also stop operating your method *for life*. You'll be guaranteed to eventually lose if you chase your losses or try to improve on your winnings. The averages MUST play their hand eventually. Bet very, very small; don't expect to win; keep it as a hobby only..... that's sage advice to people operating these old, tried systems
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