
12th September 2005, 12:28 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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Hi Wesmip1
You note a 43% SR
The theoretical run of outs for this based on 10,000 bets is
40% SR -- 14 outs
45% SR----12 outs
So if one strikes say 13 outs in a row , stop betting until a winner gets up before recommencing again.
This will help save ones bank if an anomily should strike say 30 outs in a row.
Useing a bank ratio of 1:40 win only. level stakes betting
OR
Bet 1wX3plc
If your Place SR remains at 75%+
I dont feel one needs to have 1000 bets . 3 lots of 150 consecitive bets should give a pretty fair indication if it has legs or not.
I beleive half the secret to longterm success in punting in general, is selecting the right races to target.
If one bets every race in front of them one will fall victim to the overwhelming stats of racing.
Heres one for you Guitar Jim,
The stats show that Favs in Maiden from barrier No.1 or any other barrier win approx 30% of all races year in year out , then why is it in maiden races 1100-1110m where the Fav is starting from barrier No.1 that its SR is only 15% based on the last 5.5 years, betting 7 days a week. All tracks , all track conditions, day or night.
Cheers
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Cheers.
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