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Old 14th September 2005, 05:21 PM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
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This is in the response to the so called great ride by Greg Childs obviously he did alright cause Lad won the race but he lost position to FOO early on in the race when that horse went from being outside of him in the running to pulling back and going up inside of him and end up about 1 1/2 to 2 lengths in front of him. Coming to the turn Lad was posted about 4 maybe 5 wide at the 600 onwards with Makybe about 1 to 1 1/2 lengths behind him on the turn the margin was still similar until they straightened whne although you could see the Lad was ************ed he had opened to about a 2 1/2 length lead and managed to hang on for the win.

When comparing the 2 horses you are comparing 2 completely different type of horses Lad is one best ridden to take a bit of a position early and have one dart at them at the end where as Makybe always goes straight out the back and thunders home she doesn't know any other way. I amnot saying she can't win the race I just feel that at the odds she is right now which are extremely **** poor I could find better betting options. What is to say that these horses will even make it to the race nothing saying that either one of them can't get hurt and not even end up contesting the race it happens all the time which makes anything less than about 7-1 fort any horse I don't care who it is ridiculos.

Like I said I backed Lad at 13-1 and am glad I did his odds willnot be anywhere near that come the day of the race if he is there that is a gamble I felt was worth while at worst I think Makybe Diva ends up being an odds on shot and I doubt that happens so $3 isn't that great a value and I certainly would not consider it value under any circumstances.
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