G'day Mav,

Not the greatest day in Brisbane tomorrow....but we can only work with what we've got...Bit of rain around will complicate matters too

Race 1 - Depending on what Leader of The Pack does, speed might be an issue with Cold Start being the only established leader. For that reason, with no weight, i can't see any reason why Cold Start can't do what he did last run - lead all the way. Some of these find it hard to win, so winning form might be the way to go. This is Lord Rupert's best distance (never been out of a place) and will be running on and maybe Tackman for a place, he should be close enough to them at the right time.

Race 2 - No Bet race. Lachlan River is classy but with the weight, the prep ahead....theres just too many variables. Too many to be sucked into the prohibitive odds they'll be betting anyway. Planagram seems to be the speed and could be a chance. Coalesce is a nice horse on the way up, might need some more ground though.

Race 3 - Not a bad 3yo race here, with a few promising types. Daimyo has been running some good times over 1000 of late, and can race on pace which might put him in good stead for this event. Hardrock Diamond has done nothing wrong in his 2 starts to date (beating Shanambah at his first) and can figure. Just The Star promised a lot last campaign.....but things just didn't seem to go her way, with adequate speed.....she'll be coming late.

Race 4 - Mesmerising should win this. If she runs up to her last effort, it'll take a good one to stop her. Wide the trip, and was taking ground off Canadian Shuffle at the death. From the 5 with Cahill in the saddle, she should get a beautiful run. Rejuvenate Lass has a horror draw but has ability and can place with some speed on....Partridge at huge odds was seen getting to the line OK last time, and might improve ridden a touch closer. Will improve after the 1st up run too.

Race 5 - Good sprint race. Imprisoned is a speedy fellow, but may not get his own way out in front. Masindor and Star Groom can go hard themselves, as can Levante. For That reason i think Poetic Papal can go very close here. He ran some really good races over the carnival up here and from the good gate, will secure a good run. Golden Fox is the query. Quality horse. If he's fit and ready, he'll go close for sure. Imprisoned must be included because of the 1000m win of his earlier on this campaign, when he clocked 56.4. Only good ones do that...

Race 6 - Tough, tough race. Arrowsweep ran a big race last time to win, and wil appreciate the speed in the big field. Limarki with the light weight has just kept on winning, so you can't fault that. Blue Oyster might not run, but if he does must be considered a big chance on the 3yo form he's got.

Race 7 - Good field here. Black Ink is a strong chance if the speed is on, but he will be back a long way....especially with the bad gate. My Best Tycoon will appreciate the weight drop and the good alley is a huge plus. Tropiqualo has been very consistent lately and shouldn't be left out. Lot of other chances here though.

Race 8 - Stood Up is the one here, i think. Big run last time, scratched last week for some reason, but the good alley should help him secure a good run. Nothing wrong with the win of A Fairy's Kiss last time, will get the good run here. Miss La Tar got to the line very nicely in the A Fairy's Kiss race and should appreciate the long Eagle Farm straight.

Best would be Mesmerising with a value hope given to Partridge.

Good luck all

Sven