31st December 2002, 10:07 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
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The true beauty in compiling SP and actual win results by probs breakdown is it gives a basis to do further studies on jockeys & barriers.
Like checking every ride of each jockey based on SP probabilities then compare to the Overal results and so on thru the barriers..
That is if you add the probs for ech ride say Jockey A has been lucky an has ridden $2.00 chances in 10 starts, you would add .5+.5+.5+.5+5 and so on for the 10 starts the total would then be his expected strike rate. It soon becomes clear when you add a second variable like Barrier the true abilities of each jockey and from different sections of the Barrier, this can be applied in their ability in Field size ..the list is endless..if you think about it..
[ This Message was edited by: woof43 on 2003-01-04 10:08 ]
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