On Kounthekash:

Nice horse, strong, however is badly in at 57. In his 3 wins last year he rated 112 at Sandown in a class 6 with 57 (same weight as today, this is better than a class 6), then 112 again at Caulfield in an open on the limit with 52, then 113 at Mornington with 54 in the Mornington Cup. Mornington Cup a better race than this, but not by a great deal. Think 57 is a lot, even if it is only a 53 limit.

Not saying can't win, certainly can because 113 is good enough to win with 57, but only just. If anything goes wrong in the run he won't win though, guaranteed. He has the barrier and jockey to ensure that doesn't happen but again, with 57 kgs he'll need everything to happen right. Happy to take him on at that price.