G'day Crash,

Allambie does look to be a nice chance after some decent runs of late (especially the 2nd behind Limarki). I could have put him in 3rd ahead of Watson Road i guess, but not infront of the other 2 who i think have the edge at this stage after good town performances.

Abu Simbel is a horse i can never seem to pick. When i do, he always runs on late without winning. At his last start, he looked like a real stayer - only getting going the last 100m or so. This leads me to think the Doomben straight may not suit him all that well. The 57kgs worried me a little too. Having said that though, these stayers races are a raffle....so they're all a chance for sure.

Becks Crown has been super consistent in the lower grades lately, but i think this step up may be a touch beyond her at the moment. There are some pretty good 3yos lined up here. The 9 alley in the 11 horse field is no help either, i can see her being 3 deep most of the way.

Hope this helps,

Sven