24th September 2005, 11:45 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by tailwag
For starters, here is an off the top of my head definition.
My racing system should be any collection of data that once analysed gives an indication of a horse which represents a better chance of winning a race than the other horses in the same race.
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Many would argue that definition should finish as ....a horse who's odds are better than that horses chances of winning the race.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by tailwag
What about gut-feeling, the most powerful weapon yet devised by man for picking winners?
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Gut feelings can work two ways.
One school of thought would be that the mighty computer that is our brain is seeing things our conscious mind fails to see. This gives the nagging sensation I think YOU are referring to tailwag and that is a good thing.
Alternately the data that your brain may be using to give you a good nagging can be false. It remembers isolated incidents and makes too much of them. For example it remembers that time you took a punt on the outside barrier (no sleight intended to outside barrier proponents) and got a big win, then it falsely thinks anything not from the outside barrier is suspect.
It would be interesting for an individual to make a note of any "Gut Feeling" bets they make and see how successful they really are, you may end up hating your own guts.
KV
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