Carnegie,
I have done some analysis but can't (or at least without a bit more effort) do all the criterea:
I have done:
1) Only select horses with a winning percentage of 40% or higher the win and 60% or higher the place -
Win % only
2) No two or three year old races or restricted class races.
- See results breakdown, assume 3yo+ is OK
3) Only select horses that have finished within 4 lengths of the winner at their last start, provided they did not win. -
OK
4) Only select horses with a proven first or second up record in similar quality races.
- Not done
5) Only select horses that are proven at the track or distance (50% place at worst).
- Not done
6) Never select a horse with an apprentice jockey on board unless they are claiming below the minimum (generally these horses fail rules 1 & 3 hence the reason for minimum weight and the claim)
- Not done
7) Never select a horse that has drawn off the track. Stick to horses that have drawn barriers 1-7 (unless down the straight at Flemington or Vic Park). -
OK except for the exceptions
8) Only bet if the odds for the win are greater than $3.50 -
OK
9) In races where there are more than one that suffice the above rules no bet.
- Not done
10) 25 units the win 25 units the place. -
Can only do win results.
Results:
As above:
Wins
| Starts
| Places
| S/R
| Place S/R
| Win Return
| POT
|
29
| 192
| 81
| 15.10%
| 42.19%
| 196.75
| 2.47%
|
As above but including restricted races:
Wins
| Starts
| Places
| S/R
| Place S/R
| Win Return
| POT
|
47
| 289
| 120
| 16.26%
| 41.52%
| 296.75
| 2.68%
|
As above but including 2 and 3yo races and including restriced races.
Wins
| Starts
| Places
| S/R
| Place S/R
| Win Return
| POT
|
98
| 577
| 231
| 16.98%
| 40.03%
| 615.5
| 6.67%
|
Edit: Results for Syd/Melb metro from 1/1/2003...