Hi - guys

I'll go slow this weekend as I do like a lot of the away dogs but they aren't winning. Just 2 picks and need to improve my 3-7 record.

Green Bay +8 bt Carolina.
The struggling Packers don't lose 4 in a row often. They played well against TB and went within a whisker of a tie. Carolina haven't exactly been world beaters either at 1-2. The Packers have a -5 t/o ratio which has been their main problem. THe defenses are better than the offenses for both teams. I expect a close defensive game with Carolina not risking too much and that should give the "pack" a chance to cover the 8 points.

Arizona - San Francisco over 43.
The NFL is on show in Mexico and both these teams are very poor defensively especially against the pass. SF scored over 28 in two of their games and have a good passing stats. THe 49ers have averaged 38 points against Arizona on the road in their last 3 starts. Arizona have allowed an average of 40 points in their 2 road games. I expect Arizona to get the ball to their speedster Johnson and to have worked on their red zone offense. Hopefully both teams will want to put on a spectacular passing show for the Mexicans and go over the total.