
5th October 2005, 08:57 AM
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,012
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Stix Tips
G'day All
My thoughts for the Guineas are:
1 Stratum - Was 2nd to Red Dazzler last start @ MV, so some more galloping room @ Caulfield will help. Seems to be looking for the mile and I think a nice barrier and Callow will run very well and at 11's pre-post looks a very good E/W proposition
2 Paratroopers - First try the otheray around..... so has to contend with Caulfield and going "anti" - which a big ask - but this guy is really flying and with Beadman on board, I expect to be in the first 3. Think he's a bit short, so gunna take him on.
3 Danger Looms - Was easily beaten by Red Dazzler and really has not fired at all this time in, was set for this, is fitter, so I expect improvment. Drawn a little wide.
4 Perfectly Ready - stepping up to the 1600 for the first time, well held by Red Dazzler last time - Don't think he can win it
5 Red Dazzler - Is racing really well and still learning, over the 1600m at the tight MV circuit he won by 1.25 ln and with the Caulfield track which should suit - given he has won there before - looks really good value at $5.50 pre-post
6 Apache Cat - The forgotten horse.. has been kept fresh after last start Caulf win over the 1400m, has won over 1600m before at Flemington, I reckon he's up to his eye balls in this - @ 12's and with N Ryan on board he is very attractive
7 God's Own - Just beaten at only Caulf start by Apache Cat, who I think has an excellent chance, is drawn wide but has won from a wide gate and has Group One Glen on board.
8 Gonski Backed him last start and and won by 2.5 ln, the extra distance will suit has barr 3 and Nash on board first look at Caulfield bu handeled the "anti" racing well at Vic debut.
9 Testafiable Making up the numbers. 2ln to Paratroopers last start, but 2nd (Primus) was 1.5ln, getting fitter but will struggle (you watch him win now - LOL!)
10 Primus Antoher debuting in Vic, will he run a solid 1600m? I think he will struggle, but has been racing really consistently
11 Paternity - Don't think he can mix it with this field, not going well enough at the moment - easier races for him (he is 151's)
12 Silent Echo - Well held last start and another looking elsewhere...
Well .....after I have built a case for 3/4's of the filed - My Ratings are:
5 Red Dazzler
6 Apache Cat
1 Startum / 7 God's Own / 8 Gonski / 2 Paratroopers
3 Danger Looms / 4 Perfectly Ready
10 Primus / 9 Testafiable
12 Silent Echo
11 Paternity
Tips :
5 Red Dazzler 6 Apache Cat 1 Startum - 1,7,8,2
Good Luck
(Now that's what I call leaving myself wide open !!! - go easy on me pls......)
__________________
Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!
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