
7th October 2005, 03:34 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 318
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Very interesting article in Thursday's Daily Racing Form( DRF.COM) concerning teams coming off bye weeks. Last week all four teams coming off byes (Hou, Det, Wash, and Balt) covered the spread. This weeks plays would be MIAMI +3 at buffalo and PITTSBURGH +3 at san diego. Cleveland and Chicago are playng each other so they cancel each other out.
Also, the UNDER is 33-26-1 (56%) so far for the NFL season. IND, CINN, and TB are all 4-0 on their games going under. I have always felt that the under is the better value anyway, due to the linemaker's making the over slightly higher than it should be due to the public's lean towards playing the over.
Home teams are 32-26-1 ATS (55%)
HOME DOGS are 9-6 ATS (60%)
69%
Double digit underdogs are 2-1 ATS (66%)
Underdogs of 7 or more points are 9-4 (69%)
" " " " " " 7 1/2 or more points are 4-1 (80%)**
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