7th October 2005, 02:42 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 578
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by KennyVictor
Hi La Mer, Thanks for that illustration of your betting method, quite illuminating. Without giving too much away, when you look at your prices and compare them to prices on offer what are the first key areas you look at to decide it's a race worth betting on. Like perhaps the favorite is ridiculously underpriced compared to your ratings or some other outstanding feature, or is it just an overall assessment which varies from race to race. Or perhaps you are computer driven. KV
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KV - When determining the likely races to bet in, the first thing I look for is the number genuine chances - up to three is normally the limit - usually looking for the gap in the assessed prices as the measure. I never worry about a roughie winning because these things happen and have to accept that chaos prevails at times.
The other thing is planning the days bets out well before the first race so I have an idea of what lies ahead and where the pressure points are, ie. last Saturday between 1.25pm & 2.25pm there were potential bets in seven races, meaning a period of concentration and acceptance that I might not always get the best price available, as there is little time for lingering around to get an extra ten or twenty cents on Betfair.
Other than that there really are no hidden secrets – just a belief that over time the ratings will prevail – plunges don’t worry me - some score, some miss – other than one that is on a horse that I want to back, meaning I will likely take a price (given that it is still equal to or better than the assessed price) earlier than normal.
Using Sportingbet is an essential tool as their prices are the most accurate that I have come across, reflecting what is happening with the on track bookmakers.
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