
11th October 2005, 10:10 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 301
|
|
if we look at the other maidens run at pakenham that day we had one for 3yold's only, 2 1000m sprints & the 1750 lottery that the 1st upper won.
it would appear that the trainer considered the 1750 more suitable than either of the 1000's, maybe there had been setback of some sort so he missed a more suitable race a week or 2 earlier, then put plenty of work into the nag, but the real question is - was there any stable support? it would appear not, meaning the win was most likely simply a fluke, or considering this was only it's 2nd start after a 18 month layoff, maybe its got a smidgin of ability & could easily account for the rest of the no-hopers.
not wanting to suggest there is not an opportunity to be had backing 1st uppers, just that those that commence of such distances would almost certainly have an abysmal record, not that you need to many to win at those odds.
|