Dale, I don't think your reasoning is correct (post 14) with regard to this horse in Hamilton R5. It looks like it was injured or something last time in. To accept the risk of betting on it (Deneuve) the price would have to be much longer AND the trainer would have to be displaying much more confidence than is the case today. Only half an hour to go.
PS. What's your E-Mail Dale? Gothehalalau or something like that? Cheers.