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Old 21st January 2003, 10:45 PM
becareful becareful is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
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Fryingpan,

The percentages are the strike rate for all horses that started at the specified price over a 1 year period. For example with the $2.00 starters there were 1418 horses that were priced at $1.90, $2.00 or $2.10 during the year. Of these 643 won their race for a strike rate of 45.3%. The expected strike rate (removing the TAB margin from the price) was 42.5% so these horse are slightly more successful than you would expect from the price (ie. they are slight "overs" on average) but unfortunately not enough to overcome the TAB cut. The reason the percentages add up to more than 100 is that I was just looking at the strike rate for each price point - obviously you generally dont have a race with a $2, $3, $4 and $5 runner all in the same race. If you took a race with say a $2 favourite, a couple of $5-$6 runners, couple of $9-$10 runners and a few $20+ runners and added up the strike rates for each of those prices then that should add up to 100%

Hope this clarifies it for you.
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