Hmmm, I didn't say master 'going backwards', I did say study history. I do agree to some extent on Marks comments on not backing the favs. What I am looking for is a value bet. For example Carael Boy was the fav in race 6 at the farm today. However he paid over $5 for the win, not a lot but my system still pointed to anything above around $4 as being good value. So I backed it. It was Carael Boy's 5th win on the trot, not bad form. VERY often favs are poor value and Marks comment holds true.

I suppose I look at form because I'm approaching betting from a satistical perspective. Looking at last few runs, jockey, barrier, quality of previous runs, etc. I could use the horses star sign instead, but they all have the same birthday don't they? :wink:

happy holidays

P.S. Obviously my system doesn't make me rich or else I wouldn't be posting this right?