
24th January 2003, 12:08 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Newcastle, NSW
Posts: 1,492
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Hi Percentum,
Having seen your posts in this and other forums, I thought that I would make myself known. I too, am a percentage punter and believe this is the best way to ensure that I survive in this game considering the variable factors.....bad rides by jockeys, games played by trainers etc, etc....
I'd like to get your feedback on an approach or filter which I use to zero in on potential chances in races where form is uncertain or undisclosed.
On Teletext, for each race the shorteners are displayed and from these I apply a test to see if these favoured runners are true value for the place, as this is basically my method to securing ongoing winning bets. To elaborate, I peruse the shorteners and then refer to the win and place screen to see if any of the place totes for these runners show odds for the place at 1/4 odds or better for fields of 8 or less runners or 1/3 odds or better for the place for fields of 7 or less runners. This way I identify if they are value and warrant further scrutiny....if so, I apply a few other filters before deciding whether to bet. When I do bet, I apply a betting strategy of 1 unit win and five units place to ensure a reasonable return when winners are hard to come by. For example, at last night's meetings at Canterbury and Moonee valley by utilising this method, from four bets I returned a POT of 57.5% which was pretty respectable. Like you, I believe that a regular modest return from wagering is better than a hit and miss approach which results in ruin. That's why I go by the motto " btbi"....."better than bank interest" and since this approach has worked well for me for more than two decades I see no reason to change my approach(NB. before Sky Channel I used the fluctuation boards on course to choose which horses, trotters, dogs qualified).
I would like to get your feedback and general approach to your wagering(eg. mine is 1w 5pl), without giving your "secrets" away and I'd like to hear from other forum contributors as to their general approach(emphasising that I am not seeking the disclosure of their secrets). My motivation for this was that I read in another forum the subject of "value" was mentioned and I would like to get a cross-section of opinions as to what represents "value".
Cheers
Hoping to converse with you and fellow forum contributors.
Cheers.
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