Hi, SeeDee.

I have sometimes compared quinella divvies compared with the expected divvy when based on their Win prices, and quite often the actual quin divvy is less than that when calculated from the win prices. This is more true with races of eight or less runners. I have also done the same using Mark Read's prices (approx 140% market) and it seems to be the same. Based on this, I would consider deleting races of eight and less runners. I have also seen huge outsiders run first and second in fields over 16 runners, and the quin divvy pays less than the expected divvy when calculated using their win prices.

If you are waiting until the last moment, I would look at the price of the fave in relation to the size of the field, and also the relationship with the fave and second-fave. If there isn't too much difference between them, and the third fave is nowhere near them in the market I think its a good betting race for quins providing they both don't snare the quinella. But how often does the fave and second fave get the quinella? I could be wrong, but I seem to remember from personal experience about five years ago that the shorter the fave and the bigger the gap between it and the second-fave then the less quinella value there is if the fave runs first or second, which would be generally expected because the market regards it as vastly superior to the rest of the field.