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Old 24th January 2003, 04:17 PM
woof43 woof43 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
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Horizontal and vertical betting series, a vertical series is a person playing Win only, if they were playing horizontal you would be linking key runners in win & the exotics ...you dilute the pools by investing too much into one pool, the beauty of playing the exotics is it allows you to create your own odds on your key runner if the best payoff for a win is 6/4 an your ratings dictate you need 2/1 you move your plays to the exotics and by trimming the number of linkages to your key you can create 2/1 for your key, but you then have a risk that an runner you havn't linked may not fill a placing.

In regards to the Mcsim of EI's what i did was look at his payoffs max and minimum etc then ran 5000 simulations of 100 bet series then looked at the deviation from the breakeven point, by knowing when the avg min and avg max in the deviation from the breakeven occurs within allows one to adjust your staking within any betting series,that is increase or decrease your staking, instead of using regression etc..whilst protecting your capital.
But its essential you never change your method of selction once that occurs your on the road to ruin.



[ This Message was edited by: woof43 on 2003-01-24 17:20 ]

[ This Message was edited by: woof43 on 2003-01-24 17:22 ]
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