His argument against MD isn't very convincing. Not enough evidence to say she doesn't like the Valley - only 3 starts with 2 close up 2nds over distances short of her best, early in her campaigns when she had bigger fish to fry much later on.

He says its because of her come-from-behind style of racing. Yet he reckons Xcellent is a genuine chance. X will most likely sit behind MD in the run himself, as its his only racing style. I'm also gambling that X has been set for the Cup & not the Plate, while MD has been set for the Plate & the Cup is merely an afterthought.