23rd October 2005, 02:36 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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Class is it the defining factor?
Lets throw form out the window for a moment and concentrate on prizemoney only.
There are horses that fail miserably (recently) that have the inherent class to win at cricket score odds.
It's a long time between drinks, but you get some huge overs backing the top three by prizemoney when they are over 10/1.
Sydney Race 9 Majestic Feeling
top rated by API
Hiddeous form
First up from a spell
Paid $57.10 and $11.60
Surely $57.10 was overs.
Morphettville Race 2 Magical Spirit
Ranked equal third by API
Woeful form
Paid $70.50 and $10.80
Again huge overs based on prizemoney alone.
Morphettville Race 8 Umaquest
Top rated by API
First up from a spell
$11.40 and $2.90
Also had Cee Vee Austrax (old warrior) at the trots $42.30 and Flashing Red (top class horse) at $9.20
One must be selective and only bet when there are good overs to be had, but it certainly is food for thought.
Some horses win at big odds with no guide at all, but many win and their inherent class means that they have the potential to upset the applecart.
They don't win often enough to warrant backing them all, but when I see huge odds (overs) about these horses, I've just gotta have a go.
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