| 
			
			 
			
				28th January 2003, 05:28 PM
			
			
			
		 | 
	| 
		
			
			| Member |  | 
					Join Date: Jan 1970 
						Posts: 54
					     |  | 
	| 
				  
 I have tried the 1/4 approach and used it for some time until I discovered the following.Based on a horse paying $5 win $2 place
 
 Horse wins           horse places
 1 win = $5 return = 400% POT  $0  100% loss
 1 e/w = $7        = 350%      $2  0%
 1/2   = $9          200%      $4  33%POT
 1/3   = $11         175%      $6  50%
 1/4   = $13         160%      $8  60%
 1/5   = $15         150%      $10 66%
 5 plce= $10         100%      $10 100%
 
 Based on the above versus risk on outlay the only bets that provide a decent POT are the win bet or the place bet. Any e/w bet cuts into the POT too much with the exception of the $1 e/w which provides a get out should the horse place and doesn't erode the POT too much should it win. I prefer the dutch bet for the saver rather than a $e/w.
 
 ANY ONE WITH A METHOD DESIGNED ON AN E/W BET IS ERODING THEIR POT.
 
 I now play 3 methods.
 
 1/ Place only. The bet is 1/4 of the bank at all times up to my limit. Method of selection is simple. As 70% of winners pay under $12 I wait til the market is up and select the runner I feel has the best credentials  of those in the market. Runner must be paying $1.70 or more.
 
 2/ Win only. The bet is 10% of the bank. Method of selection is again simple. Wait til the market is up, see who the favourate is and if I feel he has winning credentials bet him. Must pay $3 or more. Theory is that 40% of favourites win.
 
 3/ Dutch betting. No more than 4 runners (preferably 3) Study required here to reduce the chances and I prefer to stick to certain regions on this one. One of the selections is the main bet with the others savers. Hard to use if a selection is at odds under $3.
 
 Comments appreciated, I await to be shot down in flames.
 
			
			
			
			
				  |