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Old 31st October 2005, 09:08 PM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
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Interesting read there however I for one will not be leaving out Railings can't see any reason why I should he has the breeding he has the runs on the board through the Caulfield Cup say whatever you like about Eye Popper I to think it can win obviously but the horse was not 5-6 wide it was 3 and 4 wide and I haven't seen the sectionals for the race but I know they hit the line hard which leads me to believe that they didn't go that hard up front which gives even more merrit to Railings and Leica Falcon. Now on the Caulfield Cup runs Railings and Leica Falcon meet at the same weight differential again and you would have to think that Leica Falcon will be out the back and I can see Railings landing about midfield this means he is going to have to hit the line harder than him to beat him and I doubt he will get there any harder than he did in the Caulfield Cup.

I wouldn't discount the fact that Eye Popper could end up 3 wide again tomorrow he has done it in Japan before and could do it here. As far as comparing horses from different countries it is hard some travel better than others whose to say Phoenix Reach was in top shape when beaten by Mummify noone knows I have a feeling it sat on an extremely fast pace in that race which I have heard more than once and Mummify just outsayed them coming from about midfield.

I personally have 4 horses that I think can win this race they are Railings, Eye Popper, Distinction (very underrated here) and Leica Falcon and after that I thought that Lachlan River and Hugs Dancer were good to add to the tri. Out of the 4 I think can win I am dropping Leica Falcon to the 2nd line which may bite me in the ass I'll take my chance.

As for Greys Inn was a big fan of it but I haven't really liked either of its runs here in Australia I am questioning as to whether the horse has adapted to our conditions. Another thing that worried me a bit was I beleive that a horse by the name of Russian Pearl got pretty close to it in the QE II I might be wrong I am only going off my memory it may have actually have been in the Derby that it got close to Vengance of Rain either way that would tie in ok with that form from the QE II. Going on that I know that Russian Pearl was a promising horse here and it may have really improved in Hong Kong but it was beaten by Tolouse Lautrec in the QLD Derby it certainly hasn't done a thing to frank that form and nor has Devastating for that matter.
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