Nice summary but you'll go broke taking form lines on horse's beaten 6 lengths then trying to say "this horse was 6 lengths below best, trainer said so, which means it really rated this". Throw that formline out the window. Eye Popper rates what he rates, the Diva rates what she rates. At the top of her game and he at the top of his, 4kgs won't put him near her. Your assessment of him at 11/2 and her at presumably greater than 20/1 is wrong. Sorry, it just is.

You're right though about Mr Celebrity, he well and truly has beaten the handicapper, and you make good points on other horses.

I am still undecided as to which way I am going but I have been tipping Dizelle all along but now with the prospect of a ROCK HARD track I am going cold on her. Now she'll probably win.

Don't know what to do. Am going to re-study the race now.

Maybe I'm just looking for ways to beat the Diva when maybe I shouldn't be. Maybe she just wins after all.