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2nd February 2003, 08:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 73
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I have been playing around with favourites again and found the following which I hope may be of some interest:
Metropolitan Saturday favourites from July 2001 to end Dec 2002 won:
808/2772 or 29.1% S/R for 18.3 % loss on turnover.
Of these, those carrying the limit weight or up to 1.5 kg over the limit (before claims) won:
198/649 or 30% S/R for 3% lot.
Using the following filters:
(i) Eliminate first uppers
(ii) Include only if career starts = 5 – 25,
these then won:
154/464 or 33% S/R for 4.5% profit on turnover.(average Div 3.15)
This profit figure is based on NSWTAB so
Div-Plus could be conservatively expected to add 0.1 of a point per 2 winners, increasing pot to 6%
Any other ideas for tweaking the figures while I have the spread sheet handy, or perhaps someone may be able to run this over a longer time-frame?
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