11th November 2005, 08:53 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by joelance
Duritz,
Why is running 2nd by 8L different to running 13th by 8L?
What if the 2nd was in a class 1 race and the 13th was in a Group 1.
Even allowing for everything to be the same, class, weight etc...they both are equal.
If i had a foot race with you and beat you by 8 L...whether you finished 2nd in the race or 13th..i would be 8 lengths better than you!
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I would go further than this. I think we have to assume we are talking about the same horse winning the same race otherwise the whole argument is pretty meaningless but:
The horse that came second is likely to have been ridden fully out with the hope of getting a place and the horse which finished 13th may well have eased up towards the end realising there was no chance of a place. So we have a horse that tried real hard and finished 8L worse than our "standard horse" compared to a horse that cruised home and still finished 8L behind the "standard horse".
KV
BTW. I made the mistake of not viewing the forum for almost 48 hours and another thread has dissappeared. What happened with the 90% strike rate thing? Was the guy for real with the 90%? Why did it dissappear?
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