11th November 2005, 08:58 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 45
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
"It's not just about picking winners, the most obvious horse will most probably be the least value. There is value in every race, you just have to look for it. The most favoured in the tipsters poll, the most popular jockey, the best stable, the highest strike rate, the best form, the highest class, the shortest price, will all lead you to a high strike rate, but a loss - UNLESS you find within all of that something that the public is generally not aware of - AN EDGE."
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I almost agree with that except you missed a very important element. That is that factors are influenced by many things, and these factors ebb and flow with time. Some factors go out of existence and new ones come in to being, thus your system needs to be CONSTANTLY reviewed and tweaked to emulate the changing nature of the factors that govern it.
If you are really clever, you might even try to predict the course of some factors and beat others to the punch 
Cheers
Tailwag |