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Originally Posted by Imagele
G'day XPT.
So Brom Felinity, previously placed in a C2 handicap at Kyneton carrying 53kg, was your 2nd rated selection in a G4 handicap for mares at Sandown carrying the same weight.
A very interesting rating system indeed.
I am almost convinced to throw away everything I have ever learned and start again.
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Now Now Now
cynacism does not suit you... the ratings file is still available for dload if you don't believe what I am saying... U do your ratings your way I do them mine...
The horse had 3 starts.. in the money twice.. (now 4 for 3) . 1 go at the distance... Now 2/2 and in the money...
In that race there were a few horses that had finished in the placings last start.. I would have thought that would be just something normal, to include in any ratings... There were only 2 last start winners... Vintner which started at the tight odds of 66/1 and Talons Shown which started at 15/4F. Brom Felnity started at 15/4 at it's last start and ran 2nd .. Pin up the fav (also the horse I had on top) for the race started at 9/1 last start after finishing close up 2nd in similar company.. Irongail ran 3rd at its last effort at 14/1 in a listed.. this is the same horse that could not catch Careal Boy at Wyong in listed company... Charmed Lady ran 2nd at its last go at 9/1.. Kingston Bird ran 2nd at 9/1 in a restricted race.. The winner, Umber's form was far from impressive finshing 5 lengths from the winner in an open on Cup day at 12/1 at it's last outing...
As you can see 2 of the three place getters ran a hole last start.. Kingston Bird paid better than 4$ and Brom Felinity 21$ As I said L/S finishing position figures in a lot of ratings.. I think Brom Felinty was the horse on the UP, whilst a lot of the others have either reached their potential or were on the way down
I have mentioned in other threads that Last few SP's and beaten lengths plus a few others are components of my ratings ( i am not going to give you the recipe).. I have also said that the weakness or maybe it is the strength ( you cant argue with 21$ the place, 2nd rater) of my ratings is that It does not take class rises/falls into account.. I do not subscirbe to the rule that horses should race in their own classes or lower... The horse doesnt know what class it should be in.. it just goes out an runs, whether it is 1/1 or 100/1... It just runs
Listed company is not that exalted I am afraid, call it GR4 if you like.. and the winner of the race was nothing flash, it's formlines suggested that..
I hope u have better understanding of how my ratings can throw a horse like that up from time to time..
One thing I forgot when I first posted this.. was that the race we are talking about was a race restricted to mares...
If you are not being cynical... I apologise for making that assertion, but that is the way that I read you post