23rd November 2005, 11:55 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by crash
I think you would have to add the three % figures together and then divide by 3 first and then work out The LRO for that figure for your average.
Adding the initial SR % together would be the wrong way to go I think without dividing by 3.
Where are the mathematicians here when you need them?
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But if you are looking for a run of outs for number of races, then surely it makes no difference how many horses per race. The total strike rate is 48% and should be treated as such.
Are you suggesting that with a strike rate like that, he can expect to have 40 losses in a row?
My strike rate at the moment is 34% and my longest run of outs to date is 17, which against that list is extremely accurate.
But I think that since I have only been going for 7 months now, I can expect a much worse run.
I do understand kind of what you are trying to say Crash, but I think if that were the correct avenue, then the final figure would have to be divided by 3 again, giving an answer closer to 13.3.
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