23rd November 2005, 04:50 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Yarra Valley
Posts: 241
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BJ
But if you are looking for a run of outs for number of races, then surely it makes no difference how many horses per race. The total strike rate is 48% and should be treated as such.
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As long as the three strategies were guaranteed to pick different horses then it would be acceptable to add the probabilities together and estimate your LRO based on that. However, as soon as the strategies starting picking only one or two horses per race, then the math becomes very tricky.
If it were easy to do, then it might be useful to find the S/R when all three strategies select the same horse, and work from there. This should give a pretty good "worst case scenario".
Cheers,
Chris.
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