G'day Crash
I'm glad you wrote that rubbish.
Probably the best bit of advice I have seen encapsulated in a small post for many a day anywhere.
I also spend countless hours doing form history 7 days a week and concentrate my efforts in the one area only (Victoria)
After a long time at the form analysis game it's hard to explain how you get to smell a winner.
Having said that, I believe I am a good analyser but a bad punter.
I remember one of the best from times gone by lamenting that despite being a good analyser of form he did not know how to win. (the late Cliff Carey)
Yesterday at Terang I sniffed out Regal Quest. Did not collect a cent because I had a trifecta and missed 2nd placegetter in right order.
Also had the winner of the last at Terang and again missed the trifecta with order of placings.
I had Talons Shown and Charmed lady clearly on top.
When I placed a trifecta I took Talons Shown to win and did not include Charmed Lady for 1st or 2nd. (unconciously influenced by the spruikers on track and the air waves and the tote board.)
In the last at Moonee valley I took Mc Lir and Our Spur to win in a trifecta and missed out again when 2 of the horses I had in for 3rd filled the other places.
For whatever reason I have become psychologically addicted to exotics and can't seem to break away from it.
I also have a psychological aversion to larger outlays on the one bet which in the case of trifecta betting prevents me from including all my place selections for 2nd and 3rd. (usually only 5-6 in addition to the win selections)
The psychology of punting is the biggest aspect to conquer.
In my case I have identified my downfall but have trouble changing my ways.