"Only game Id be willing to back at really short odds is union"

I actually agree with this. I just think it's one of those games where 'luck' isn't a factor in a highly mismatched game. I wouldn't agree with it in this case (nz vs scotland), but I'd definately back nz vs say the US, japan, georgia etc. There's just no way a top team is going to lose to one of these teams. In 100 matches, a team like the ABs will NEVER lose to a low team, there's just too much skill involved, and almost no luck. The things that can go wrong still won't stop a top team from running over a poor team.