2nd December 2005, 11:31 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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Criteria for a winning mechanical system....
1. Must be tested over thousands of bets
2. Must have very few rules
3. The profit must come from more than a couple of longshots
Get all three points and you have a winning mechanical system.
The problems with most mechanical systems are that they are tested over very few relative bets.
Some have ridiculous illogical rules, like "must be barrier 1 to 5, between 55 and 60kg in weight, between 4 and 6 years old, between 1000m and 1400m."
This is retrofitting.
Gather up 90% of commercial systems and take out the four longest priced winners and you have a dud.
The odds of a system continuing to be profitable based on 4 longshots is 1000/1, yet people put money on these things!
Mechanical systems can and do work, providing they have the required ingredients to be profitable in the first place.
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