2nd December 2005, 11:36 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
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To suggest that a large statistical sample indicating a trend is no evidence that the trend will continue is absurd. Show me a roulette wheel which in 10,000 spins turns up 9500 blacks and I'll take even money black for the next 10,000.
Why?
Because if you're not "retro-fitting" (term used earlier, never heard that one before but I like it) then if something happens over a sample that large it happens for a reason. In the case of the roulette wheel the reason will be because it is biased. In the case of form, it'll be because those form factors work, whatever they might be.
If anyone actually does believe that the 10,000 results is meaningless, let me rig up a roulette wheel here at home, come over and give me even money black. Oh yeah, bring a lot of cash.
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