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4th December 2005, 06:09 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Privateer
G'day all
Been reading with interest the debate of finishing position -v- margin from winner. To throw my 2 bob's worth into the ring, when I did my 2 years stats analysis I looked at both of these statistics.
I found that a horse that had run 2nd at its last start, regardless of distance from the winner, was so much more a better betting proposition than the "lengths from the winner" theory that I included it among my rules when establishing my successful method.
Cheers
Privateer
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Horses who run 3rd <=0.5L are significantly better than 2nds > 3L.
ROT: 87.8% versus 84.0%
S/R: 15.2% versus 14.4%
Runs: 8,326 versus 11,421
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