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Originally Posted by mad
Greg Ryan is absolutely flying at the moment. Might just follow him from now on.
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Gday Mad
You have to be prepared to take the shorts.. he IS the best jockey in the land IMHO, and so most of his mounts are overbet, tho every now and then he will ride one at a price...and I think if you back him every ride, every day you will lose, maybe not a lot but a bit... But if like some, you have the knack
(ESP maybe) and can root out his duds you might do ok.. but I am not so sure.. he usually has a full book so that means you need to make 7 or 8 units each meeting b4 you go into profit and the money usually says he is on a good chance... How you root out the duds is totally beyond me, and in reality is probably beyond most mortals, those without extra powers anyway.
Take today for instance:
Mudgee
Race 1 he rode #4 which started at 7/2 and ran unplaced
Race 2 he rode #7 which started at 13/2 and again failed to place
Race 3 he rode #1 which started at $1.60 (FAV) and won (as it should have)
Race 4 he rode #11 which started at 6/1 and ran 3rd
Race 5 he rode #1 which started $2.6 FAV and failed to place
Race 6 he rode #6 which started at 7/2 and failed to place
Race 7 he rode #3 Paper Boy and started 3/1 FAV and won
Race 8 he rode #5 which started 3/1 FAV and Won
So a nice little profit made today... but he rode 3 FAVS to win.. But should they have been FAV.. that is my point with him.. His name makes em favs.
Now how anyone can honestly say that the horses that he rode that won, Shepishir and Paper Boy, other than the odds on pop, were good things are playing with themselves. How. out of those 8 races do you decide which ones are crap. The longest price horse he rode today was 6/1 . That tells me that most people thought all his rides had a good chance in all races..I cant see that you can consistently make money backing G Ryan, because his rides are usually pretty short.
His next outing is on Sunday at Cowra as best as I can see
Race 1/7 is probably a good thing probably odds on
Race 2/5 should be at decent odds, but wait n see
Race 3/2 has a good chance ran 2nd last 3 starts (imagine the price on this one)
Race 4/1 Will be short.. last start winner
Race 5 NO ride ... YET
Race 6/2 should be any price
Race 7/4 should be any price
Hope I am proven wrong.. but that is the way I see it