18th April 2012, 09:52 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,037
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by UselessBettor
mattio,
Just a heads up that the favs have been running slightly above their natural strike rate and pot for the last 8-9 months.
Any systems base don favs over this period are liekly to show better results then can be expected over the longer term.
I suggest you check the strike rate of just every fav and see what it has produced for your results. Is it at or above 34% ? If so then I suggest you take a wait a see approach for these systems.
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While there (probably) is no doubt that the fav strike rate has been running higher than the norm over the last 8-9 months, is it also possible that with the plethora of information available nowadays that the ACTUAL best horse is being picked by more of the info and is then backed into favoritism by the public and therefore winning at a higher strike rate?
This would thereby drag the strike rate up and maybe the current 34% average strike rate may be the new norm.
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