I wouldn't dare tell you how much to bet. That's completely up to you, but I would suggest small bets at first until you are comfortable with it. I must say that if you like a lot of bets it may not be for you. I think it averages out to only 1 or maybe 2 bets a week for AFL. It has done well for me in the past. Hopefully it will continue.

Okay, going over my system again: If the home team is given the start, I back them with that start, providing they do actually have a GENUINE home ground advantage.

Can I ask, are you a really big AFL fan? If so, you'll probably understand what I mean by a GENUINE home ground advantage in the AFL. If not, it's a bit tricky to explain, but I'll try.

I don't bet when two Melbourne teams are playing each other, because there are no genuine 'home grounds' in Melbourne any more except for Carlton's Optus Oval and even that is no longer a great advantage for Carlton. Some other games are played at 'neutral' venues like the Hawks in Tassie, the Kangaroos in Canberra and the Cats at Telstra Dome. It's up to you whether you want to back the 'home' team in these games or not, but they did actually return a profit last year.

Anyway, in all remaining matches, I back the home team when they are given the start. What I'm really looking for is when the home team plays against a team from interstate and are given a start. Last year the Brisbane Lions won the competition but they lost several games interstate when they were favourites and in a couple of others they actually won the match but failed to cover the start.

As an example, when the Lions played in Sydney, the Swans were given 20 1/2 points start. Not only did the Swans win with the start but they won outright. Usually as well as backing the home team on the line, I will also have a small bet on them head to head as well.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-03-17 10:13 ]