I have a small theory about favourites... when their price rises, they will win. when it lowers, they will lose. Recently it's been happening a lot so I'm going to test it on this game.

Fiorentina-Livorno
regardless of the odds, I think Fiorentina will win. They look the better team, Maresca is back for them, it's at home, and to get 3 pts this is the golden opportunity. Here's also another reason why... these comments were made by Livorno's coach.

"We had predicted that we would take four points in three games but instead we have achieved this in just two games (Sunday's scoreless draw at Cagliari and Wednesday's 1-0 win over Lazio).

"This means any result in Florence will be good for us."

that indicates to me that they really don't care if they lose, and even if they did care, they'd probably lose anyway. So for me it's Fiorentina backing all the way.