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Old 17th August 2013, 08:30 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,474
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Now I realise straight tips are quite useless. So I will also put up what I think are good bets with ratings and odds and Kelly staking.

Liverpool to beat Stoke 87/98 = 87%. Odds $1.41 (71%)
Swansea vs Man Utd 84/118 = 71%. Odds $2.05 (49%)
Chelsea vs Hull 83/89 = 93%. Odds $1.20 (83%)

Lets assume Half Kelly Betting for this exercise:

$1000.

Liverpool betsize = ((0.87*1.41)-1)/0.41 = 55% / 2 = 25% = $250
Man Utd betsize = ((0.71*2.05)-1)/1.05 = 43% / 2 = 21% = $210
Chelsea betsize = ((0.93*1.20)-1)/0.20 = 58% = 29% = $290

Lets see if this works.
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