Moeee did you check out my strike rate thread on the other site -

Question I asked was ; What is the strike rate of the quickest heat winner winning the Final ? Information I have started from the two Horsham finals last Tuesday (Victoria only no heats,semis, finals) just straight heats/final ; I'll open a thread and keep it up to date. In the future it might need adjusting quickest heat winner same box in final, maybe a track will show bigger % of winners, or quickest winner would have to be a certain say 4 lengths quickest than second quickest. Or a certain fixed odds of $2.50 - $3 and above..I dunno!

At the moment I'll continue with results below, and see if it is worth going ahead with.


11.6.2013 Tuesday Horsham ;
27.50 480 m Race 2 Maiden Final 4.Crackerjack Babe - result 1st $2.70 $1.70
32.79 570 m Race 8 Gr5 final 4.Derby Ghost - result 1st $2.70 $1.10

13.6.2013 Thursday Sandown ;
29.64 515 m Race 4 Gr5 final 8.Quick Succession 3rd $1.30

14.6.2013 Friday Geelong ;
22.53 390 m Race 6 Gr5 final 7.Sweet Millions 2nd $1.04

15.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
34.53 600 m Race 1 Maiden final 6.Lucy Wires 2nd $1.04
29.97 525 m Race 7 Gr5 final 3.Speed Series Unplaced

16.6.2013 Sunday Sale ;
24.95 440 m Race 6 RWF 6.Crawf's Bread 1st $3.70 $1.60

17.6.2013 Monday Cranbourne ;
30.59 520 m Race 2 Mdn final 4.Burnley Fox 1st $2.00 $1.40

17.6.2013 Monday Shepparton ;
25.46 450 m Race 6 RWF 8.Coup De Main 1st $5.40 $1.30

18.6.2013 Tuesday Warragul ;
22.91 400 m Race 3 Mdn final 6.Amaroo Cruise (unplaced fell)

19.6.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
31.63 545 m Race 4 Mdn final 8.Fog Of War 2nd $1.30
22.20 390 m Race 5 Gr5 final 1.Dr. Thanos 2nd $1.60

mickassassin
AGF Syndicate Member

Jun 18, 2013 at 5:26pm Quote

20.6.2013 Thursday Sandown ;
42.20 715 m Race 3 Gr5 final 3.Aeroplane Eddie 2nd $1.04
29.89 515 m Race 4 RWFinal 4.Soho Rhythm 2nd $1.30
34.61 595 m Race 6 Gr5 final 6.Allen Orville 2nd $2.80


21.6.2013 Friday Traralgon ;
29.87 513 m Race 4 Mdn final 6.Rag Trade scratched
30.12 513 m Race 7 Gr5 final 8.Double Gin scratched
29.25 513 m Race 8 Traralgon Cup 5.Paw Licking 1st $2.00 $1.10
16.89 298 m Race 9 Gr5 final 5.Dr. Ezechiel 1st $2.30 $1.30

22.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
35.31 600 m Race 3 Gr5 final 8.Jackie Bale scratched

23.6.2013 Sunday Healesville ;
19.40 350 m Race 4 Vet final 6.Northern Trouble 3rd $1.20
19.49 350 m Race 6 RWFinal 7.Monaleen Flyer unplaced

23.6.2013 Sunday Sale ;
25.65 440 m Race 1 Mdn Final 7.Talenroy unplaced
25.16 440 m Race 5 S/E Final 4.Chloe Keats unplaced
29.91 520 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 2.Daintree Dynasty 1st $3.70 $1.10

24.6.2013 Monday Shepparton ;
25.59 450 m Race 1 Mdn Final 1.Delta Bolt 3rd $1.20

25.6.2013 Tuesday Horsham ;
23.21 410 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 7.Flaming Diva unplaced

26.6.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
25.75 450 m Race 1 Mdn Final 3.Inventor 1st $2.60 $1.30

27.6.2013 Thursday Sandown Park ;
34.50 595 m Race 1 Mdn Final 1.Burnt Bridges unplaced

28.6.2013 Friday Bendigo ;
28.58 500 m Race 1 Mdn Final 4.Jazomax 1st $3.70 $1.30
24.20 425 m Race 3 Gr5 Final 6.Plenty To Prove unplaced

28.6.2013 Friday Geelong ;
25.99 460 m Race 6 Mdn Final 4.Ireland's Oyster 1st $3.60 $1.04
25.99 460 m Race 6 Mdn Final 6.Cairnlea scratched

29.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
28.24 500 m Race 5 S/E Bendigo to Meadows Final 6.Al Moran unplaced
42.68 725 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 1.Dashing Red 2nd $1.04
30.18 525 m Race 9 Gr5 Final 7.Under Threat unplaced


3.7.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
22.31 390 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 5.Maelee's Miracle scratched

Thursday 4.7.2013 Warnambool ;
22.28 390 m Mdn Final 4.Myalla S******** unplaced

Thursday 4.7.2013 Sandown Park
29.47 515 m Gr5 Final Race 6 6.Black Magic Opal unplaced

Saturday 6.7.2013 Traralgon ;
30.18 513 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Grace The Ace unplaced
29.59 513 m Gr5 Final Race 6 4.Dr. Thanos 1st $2.60 $1.30

Saturday 6.7.2013 The Meadows ;
30.06 525 m Gr5 Final Race 6 7.Limburg Fear unplaced

Sunday 7.7.2013 Sale ;
24.84 440 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Magic Mantra 2nd $1.20

Tuesday 9.7.2013 Horsham ;
23.35 410 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Max Rocks 2nd $2.00

Tuesday 9.7.2013 Warragul ;
22.81 400 m Gr5 Final Race. 6 6.Daven Bale 3rd $1.80

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
22.56 390 m MdnQ Final Race 1 6.Perfect Flash 1st $15.70 $3.00

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
22.96 390 m MdnQ Final Race 2 6.Beard Of Zeus unplaced

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
25.72 450 m MdnQ Final Race 3 3.Looming Large unplaced

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
25.74 450 m Gr5 Final Race 6 2.Mister Sunraysia 1st $12.80 $3.30

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
17.94 311 m MdnQ Final Race 1 8.Twisted Kaos 1st $2.00 $1.60

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
18.32 311 m MdnQ Final Race 2 1.Princess Scrappy 3rd $1.80

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
30.50 520 m RWFinal Race 5 7.Altolite 1st $2.10 $1.10

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
30.66 520 m Mdn Final Race 6 7.Watta Good Dee unplaced

Thursday 11.7.2013 Sandown ;
29.60 515 m Gr5 Final Race 3 3.Under Threat 1st $4.10 $1.80


Thursday 11.7.2013 Sandown ;
34.13 595 m McKenna Memorial Final Race 8 5.Proven Impala 1st $3.30 $1.90

Friday 12.7.2013 Bendigo ;
24.05 425 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Blue Vapouriser unplaced

Friday 12.7.2013 Geelong ;
26.21 460 m Mdn Final Race 1 2.Whodat Knockin' 2nd $1.04

15.7.2013 Shepparton ;
25.10 450 m Gr5 Final Race 6 3.Nolen 1st $1.30 $1.04

16.7.2013 Horsham ;
27.30 450 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Cosmic Wise 1st $1.80 $1.04

18.7.2013 Sandown ;
34.85 595 m Nov Final Race 1 5. Flashing Bessy unplaced

18.7.2013 Sandown ;
Geelong to Sandown Final
29.79 520 m Geelong Gr5 Final 2.Our Tommy 1st $1.70 $1.10

20.7.2013 Traralgon ;
29.96 513 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Sonic Pirate 2nd $1.04

20.7.2013 The Meadows ;
34.65 600 m Gr5 Final Race 1 2.Ema's Princess 1st $2.40 $1.10

21.7.2013 Healesville ;
16.85 300 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Dr. Mel unplaced

21.7.2013 Sale;
25.44 440 m Mdn QFinal Race 1 3.Swansea Sands 1st $3.30 $1.60

22.7.2013 Shepparton ;
25.88 450 m Mdn Final Race 1 6.Dyna Deeksey 1st $7.30 $2.20

23.7.2013 Horsham ;
26.98 480 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Claretown Westy

23.7.2013 Warragul ;
25.97 460 m VBIS Mdn Final Race 6 7.Hillbilly Flash

9.1.2014 R1 # 3 Warnambool 1st $3.70 $1.50
9.1.2014 R5 # 5 Warnambool 2nd $2.40
9.1.2014 R6 # 7 Warnambool unplaced 8th
9.1.2014 R7 # 5 Warnambool unplaced 8th
9.1.2014 R1 # 6 Traralgon 1st $2.60 $1.04
9.1.2014 R6 # 8 Traralgon 1st $1.60 $1.04
9.1.2014 R3 # 1 Sandown unplaced 4th
9.1.2014 R5 # 2 Sandown 1st $3.30 $1.50
9.1.2014 R6 # 6 Sandown 3rd $2.40
9.1.2014 R8 # 8 Sandown 1st $3.90 $1.70
10.1.2014 R1 # 6 Geelong scratched
11.1.2014 R4 # 4 Meadows unplaced 4th
11.1.2014 R6 # 3 Meadows 2nd $1.60
12.1.2014 R2 # 7 Healesville 2nd $1.30
12.1.2014 R6 # 4 Healesville 3rd $1.80
12.1.2014 R8 # 4 Healesville unplaced 7th
12.1.2014 R2 # 3 Sale unplaced 5th
12.1.2014 R8 # 4 Sale scratched

As you can see I've tried this system a couple of times before, but havn't followed through long term.

In the future it might need adjusting quickest heat winner same box in final, maybe a track will show bigger % of winners, or quickest winner would have to be a certain say 4 lengths quickest than second quickest. Or a certain fixed odds of $2.50 - $3 and above..I dunno!

Very open to suggestions!!!

At the moment I'll continue with results below, and see if it is worth going ahead with.