21st June 2004, 05:55 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 759
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"My attempt at humour."
I didn't realize it could be taken for anything else??!!?
Moe. I mainly bet against the spread, i.e. line/handicap betting. All bets a roughly even money, give or take 10 cents. Basically I have to pick more than 50% winners to profit.
I now realize what you are saying, ie I should size my bet according to perceived advantage. I don't do this simply because I have no idea how accurate my system is yet, and I don't want to overbet.
The right way to do this is to analyse past bets and see how they have performed in relation to the perceived advantage. Thing is you need a large sample size, which I don't have. I will go back and check it out anyway, see if it suggests anything.
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