View Single Post
  #3  
Old 25th March 2018, 11:01 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,474
Default

Hobart R2: GEEGEE TRENDSETTER $2.60 or CITY OF DREAMS $2.80
City of Dreams rated slightly higher then geegee trendsetter.
geegee trendsetter higher on Don scott rating.
Other ratings suggest City of dreams has the edge but very close.
City of dreams is a beter class horse using Prizemoney as the comparison. Both looks to be performing ok but City of dreams had a bad last start due to bump.
Career, 12 month and distance stats are hard to separate.
City of Dreams has the edge with barrier, weight and jockey.

Decision: 2 clear leading contenders in this race and I give the edge to City of Dreams but only just. The other horses in the race are also chances. Stay out of this race.

Hobart R5: AMAWORD $2.70
Rated 94 and 3rd fav.
Rated 2nd with Don Scott.
Rated competitive with all ratings bt not first or clear leading rating.
Been running in similar class and non-performing. Hard to justify being fav.
Best of a bad bunch with its career, 12 month and distance stats. Fav based on distance stats alone.
Barrier is not good but jockey ok.

Decision : Best of a bad bunch. It will either win or not run a place. $2.70 is not worth a bet.

Hobart R7: GLORY BLAZE $2.80
Rated at 97 and second fav. Seven horses at or above 95.
Rated 3rd fav on Don Scott rating.
Rated competitive but lots of chances.
Similar class and competitive.
Stats look ok compared to competitors but are not great.
Barrier is good and jockey ok.

Decision : Another best of bad bunch but I expect it to at least place if not win. $2.80 is a good price for the win.
Reply With Quote